Gold Price Analysis Today — Ascending Triangle on Daily, 4,300–4,350 Ceiling, XAUBTC Shows Relative Strength
Gold price analysis today shows a firm long-term uptrend on the weekly chart, but momentum is slowing as price presses into the 4,300–4,350 resistance zone. On the daily timeframe, price is forming an ascending triangle — higher lows building pressure beneath a flat ceiling — a structure that often precedes a bullish breakout if buyers stay in control. Meanwhile, XAUBTC continues to climb, signaling that gold is outperforming Bitcoin in the current risk environment.
Key Takeaways
- Gold is testing the 4,300–4,350 ceiling while forming an ascending triangle.
- Weekly trend remains bullish above EMA50 (3,479) and EMA100 (3,057).
- A clean daily breakout above 4,350 could target 4,500+.
- Breaking the rising trendline may pull price toward 4,150 → 4,090 → 4,000.
- XAUBTC keeps rising — gold is outperforming Bitcoin on weekly and daily charts.
- Consolidation above 0.045 supports continued strength of gold versus BTC.
Gold Weekly Chart (XAUUSD) — Strong Uptrend, Heavy Resistance
Gold remains comfortably above the weekly EMA50 (3,479) and EMA100 (3,057), keeping the higher-timeframe structure bullish. Recent candles show long upper wicks near 4,300–4,350, a resistance that has capped price before. The wide spacing between the EMAs confirms a healthy uptrend, but such separation often precedes a medium-term pullback.
Below 4,350, the advance looks like a late push into major resistance. A weekly breakout above 4,350 opens 4,500 → 4,650. Failure to clear the zone risks a correction toward 4,150, then 4,090, and the psychological 4,000.
Also, a potential double-top structure appears to be forming. If confirmed, it would likely shift momentum to the downside, targeting 4,220 initially, then 4,150 and 4,090 as the next major support zones.
Gold Daily Chart (XAUUSD) — Ascending Triangle Signals Bullish Pressure
The daily chart is forming an ascending triangle, a pattern that usually shows steady bullish pressure building under a flat resistance level. Price is making higher lows along a rising trendline, while sellers continue to defend the 4,300–4,350 zone — a classic setup that often leads to a breakout if buyers maintain control.
Key levels to watch: support at 4,220 on the rising trendline, then 4,090 (EMA50), 4,000, and 3,878 (EMA100). Resistance remains the same major ceiling at 4,300–4,350.
If price loses the rising trendline, we’ll likely see a move back toward 4,150 and 4,090 before buyers attempt to regain momentum. On the other hand, a solid daily close above 4,350 would confirm the triangle breakout and open the door for a push toward 4,500+.
XAUBTC Weekly Chart — Strong Bullish Shift as RSI Breaks Upper Trendline
On the weekly XAUBTC chart, gold is showing a clear momentum shift and strong relative strength against Bitcoin. Price has reclaimed the 100-week EMA (0.04340) for the first time in years, confirming a structural improvement and strengthening the case for a medium-term trend reversal in favor of gold.
The most important signal comes from the RSI bullish breakout. For months, the RSI was capped under an uptrendline, acting as a momentum ceiling. Now, the RSI has broken above that trendline, creating a new higher high and signaling a sharp acceleration in bullish momentum.
This type of RSI breakout often precedes continuation moves on price—especially when it aligns with a major EMA recovery and a developing higher-low structure. As long as XAUBTC holds above 0.045–0.04340, any dips are likely corrective rather than trend-ending. Upside levels remain 0.04880 → 0.05000 → 0.05200, and momentum continues to favor bullish follow-through as long as the RSI stays above the broken trendline.
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Gold vs Bitcoin (XAUBTC) Daily Chart — Relative Strength Favors Gold
XAUBTC has been trending higher, showing gold outperforming Bitcoin. Price holds above the EMA50 (0.04165) and EMA100 (0.03816), with higher highs and higher lows intact. Consolidation above 0.045 looks healthy and suggests sustained demand for gold versus BTC. Rising XAUBTC often coincides with risk-off conditions or a cooling phase in BTC momentum, supporting a bullish long-term bias for gold even if the daily chart dips near term.
Key Technical Levels (XAUUSD & XAUBTC)
| Category | Levels |
|---|---|
| XAUUSD Weekly Resistance | 4,300 – 4,350 (major zone), then 4,500 – 4,650 |
| XAUUSD Daily Support | 4,220; 4,090 (EMA50); 4,000; 3,878 (EMA100) |
| XAUUSD Daily Resistance | 4,300 – 4,350 (triangle top + weekly barrier) |
| XAUBTC Weekly Support | 0.04100; 0.03800 |
| XAUBTC Weekly Resistance | 0.04800; 0.05000; 0.05200 |
| XAUBTC Daily Support | 0.04500; 0.04165 (EMA50); 0.03816 (EMA100) |
| XAUBTC Daily Resistance | 0.04880; 0.05000; 0.05200 |
Bottom Line
The higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, and the daily ascending triangle supports a continuation higher if price breaks out. Losing the rising trendline, however, would open the door for a pullback toward 4,150 → 4,090 → 4,000. A clean move above 4,350 would re-ignite the broader uptrend. Rising XAUBTC further strengthens the view that gold continues to outperform Bitcoin on both the weekly and daily charts.
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Is gold still in a long-term bullish trend?
Yes, as long as price holds above the weekly EMA50 and EMA100.
What if gold fails to break 4,300–4,350?
A pullback toward 4,150 and 4,090 becomes likely.
Why is XAUBTC rising?
Because gold is outperforming Bitcoin in current market conditions.
Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Gold, Bitcoin, and all financial instruments carry significant risk. Always perform your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
