Pick a classic chart pattern, market type, and timeframe to get an
educational probability estimate (not a signal).
Use it to compare contexts: confirmation, failure reasons, and trader bias.
Estimated Success Rate
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Estimated Failure Probability
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Best Confirmation:
Common Failure Reason:
Trader Bias Warning:
Important: Probabilities shown are educational estimates only.
They are not based on live backtesting and are not financial advice.
Always manage risk and confirm setups independently.
How this probability is estimated
This tool uses a rule-based model. Each pattern starts with a conservative baseline,
then adjustments are applied based on timeframe, market type, regime, and confirmation strength.
The goal is not prediction, but better decision-making.
Probability is not certainty. Confirmation and risk management matter most.
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